Who can lift the trophy in 2030? Between host nations roared on by their fans, the reigning champions and rising sides, here is a rundown of the favourites for the centenary World Cup. A predictive forecast, to be confirmed by the qualifiers.
June 2026
Topping the predictions is Spain: European champions in 2024, blessed with an exceptional generation (Yamal, Pedri, Rodri) and host of part of the tournament, La Roja start with the edge. France, runners-up in 2022 and still as deep as ever around Mbappé, remain natural contenders, just like Bellingham's England, chasing a first title since 1966.
Brazil, in the midst of a revival with Vinícius, Endrick and Estêvão, will want to reclaim a trophy that has eluded them since 2002. Argentina, the reigning world champions, will have to navigate their post-Messi transition. Portugal, also a host, will rely on a regal midfield (João Neves, Vitinha, Bruno Fernandes).
And then there is Morocco: heroic semi-finalists in 2022, the Atlas Lions will play partly at home, in packed stadiums. Enough to fuel very big ambitions. Read our focus on the host nations.
If we had to sum it up: Spain as the bookies' pick, the France–England–Brazil trio just behind, and Morocco as the home outsider capable of upsetting the established order. But four years before kick-off, everything remains open — that, too, is why we love football.
At this stage, Spain look like the favourites: European champions in 2024, driven by a golden generation and host of part of the tournament. But the qualifiers and squad changes can reshuffle the deck.
Morocco are a very serious outsider: semi-finalists in 2022, automatically qualified as hosts, they will play partly in front of their own fans. A title would be a feat, but another epic run is entirely credible.
Historically, playing at home is an asset (crowds, familiarity, logistics). Spain, Portugal and Morocco will all be able to lean on that advantage.
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